The North Star for Generative AI

Synthetic Data – Part I

Synthetic data plays a key role in advancing generative AI, addressing data scarcity and privacy concerns, while unlocking diverse applications across industries.

Jan 17, 2025

In the rapidly changing world of generative AI, the data created by AI itself has turned into both a groundbreaking opportunity for innovation and a looming threat for the creative industries. Such data is known as synthetic data, and I have worked with it for over a decade—watching it evolve from simple experiments to the game-changing technology it is today. It’s always been a part of my journey, and it always will be. I’ve seen firsthand how it can unlock incredible potential, but also how it’s pushing boundaries that leave our world of creativity vulnerable.

For those in the creative industries—like my family, who live and breathe music, art, and storytelling—this is more than just a technical shift. It’s personal. This piece might dive into some technical terms, but trust me, it’s essential to understand what’s at stake. The decisions you make today, as artists, creators, and rights holders, will determine if we thrive or if we fade into the background as AI replaces our work with synthetic content.

“Artificial intelligence companies have run out of data for training their models and have “exhausted” the sum of human knowledge, Elon Musk has said. The “only way” to counter the lack of source material for training new models was to move to synthetic data created by AI.” (Source: Guardian via News Items.)

Understanding Synthetic Data: What It Is, How It Works, and Its Technical Hurdles

AI-generated music. Photorealistic images conjured from text prompts. Automated voice clones so precise they capture every quiver and vibrato. If you’re already in a creative field—music, art, writing, filmmaking—chances are you’ve seen these examples and wondered: How does it all come together so fast, and is it really sustainable?

Much of the answer lies in synthetic data, the artificially generated material that fuels today’s most advanced AI models. Instead of relying solely on art created by humans—like studio recordings or live performances—developers can now create massive amounts of artificial data that imitate the nuances of your work. Think of it as a virtual supply line: infinite, customizable, and often cheaper than sourcing authentic assets.

What Exactly Is Synthetic Data?

In essence, synthetic data is any data produced algorithmically rather than captured from real-world events. A single track from your music library, for instance, could be expanded into dozens of variations—some drastically different, some subtly so—by an AI system. These “fake” versions might preserve the essence of your style while changing tempo, pitch, or timbre. Or they might be entirely original-sounding compositions, loosely informed by the patterns the AI has learned from your real work.

For creatives, this is both fascinating and unsettling. On the one hand, synthetic data can help pioneer fresh styles or offer a huge playground for experimentation. On the other, it can quickly overshadow the very real, deeply personal creation on which it was based.

The Core Techniques Behind Synthetic Data

Developers use a handful of key methods to produce synthetic data, each contributing a layer of realism or diversity.

  • Data augmentation is often the simplest approach: An AI modifies elements like pitch or color in an existing piece, generating multiple new versions from a single source; An AI modifies elements like tempo or color in an existing piece, for example by speeding a song up a little bit. By doing this over and over again with different modifications, the AI can generate multiple new versions from a single source.

  • Data-driven generative modeling goes a step further—advanced algorithms (often transformers or diffusion models) learn from your original works and then output entirely new creations in a similar vein. You might have encountered these techniques on websites such as Suno or Udio.

  • Meanwhile, mechanism-based simulations focus on recreating the physical or mathematical underpinnings of a medium, such as the vibration of a guitar string or the optics of paint on a canvas, so the AI can “invent” realistic sound or imagery from scratch.

Some developers also experiment with simulation-based environments, injecting variety by placing the same piece in different virtual contexts—for example, imagining how a song might sound in a cramped recording booth versus a massive stadium. Others rely on algorithmic sampling or rule-based approaches, fusing statistical patterns or theoretical frameworks (like music theory) to ensure the AI’s output stays coherent.

How Synthetic Data Fuels AI Models

Once an AI system has its initial exposure to real examples—say, a small library of your compositions—it can generate additional artificial data to keep learning and evolving. After listening to a handful of your tracks, for instance, the AI might produce thousands of related pieces that capture the same melodic patterns, harmonic qualities, or rhythmic elements. As it refines these synthetic offshoots, the AI’s internal “understanding” grows stronger without constantly needing more of your original work.

What’s more, the process doesn’t stop at one artist’s style. Even if the AI starts by studying your songs, it can then blend your signature sound with that of other creators, creating a hybrid that reflects multiple influences. Eventually, these models can rely almost entirely on synthetic data—generated from interwoven styles—to polish their skills, often reducing or even eliminating the need to circle back to any single source’s human-created recordings.

The Technical Challenges (And Why They Matter to Creatives)

A key hurdle appears when AI models rely too heavily on synthetic data and lose touch with real-world variety. This phenomenon, often called model collapse, can cause an AI to churn out content that feels increasingly stale or repetitive if it never reintroduces authentic data.

It’s much like a chicken trying to live off its own eggs: At first, it survives, but eventually, the nutrients run dry. Each new “generation” grows weaker because no outside sustenance is added. In the same way, an AI recycling only its own synthetic output eventually starts running on empty, generating narrow or error-prone results.

Data Drift and Domain Shift

Even if a model avoids outright collapse, it can drift from real-world nuances over time. Your carefully orchestrated rhythmic complexities or emotional touch might be “averaged out” by endless streams of synthetic variations, resulting in a generic style. Developers try to keep these unique traits intact by selectively reintroducing small amounts of real data or employing rigorous balancing techniques, but the effectiveness of these measures varies.

Quality Assurance

Producing synthetic data in bulk doesn’t guarantee that it’s good. Sloppy or off-key samples can slip in, misinforming the AI and producing jarring results—a painting with skewed proportions or music riddled with timing errors. While developers filter out glaring mistakes, some inevitably remain, giving the AI flawed “lessons” that show up in the final output. If you’ve ever encountered AI-generated results that feel oddly “off,” it’s often a symptom of poor-quality synthetic samples.

The “North Star”: No Real Data Required

While some creators might welcome collapse and other challenges as a saving grace—proof that AI can’t entirely eclipse human originality—the ultimate northstar for many AI developers is to make real data obsolete. They don’t want to remain tethered to authentic and human-created music or media forever; they aim to engineer AI that learns, refines, and regenerates entirely on its own.

For artists, this is far from a benign technical fix. Every new advancement means the AI needs fewer actual human works to keep on track, pushing it ever closer to independence. By chipping away at the need for genuine input, these models can ultimately thrive on an endless feedback loop of synthetic output. What was once a minor worry about AI copying a few songs or paintings becomes a dramatic existential threat: a future in which your real-world creations are just stepping stones to an AI that no longer relies on you—or anyone else. The more developers succeed at making AI independent of human-created input like yours, the closer we get to a reality where your artistic contributions are needed only briefly, if at all—and then never again.

Why This Matters Now

Synthetic data has already propelled generative AI into nearly every creative domain—faster than many anticipated. It allows AI companies to bypass the constant need for fresh, licensed material, relying instead on an endless stream of artificially produced content. That’s why it’s crucial for you, as a creative professional, to get this glimpse into the nuts and bolts of how synthetic data is made, applied, and sometimes misapplied.

Understanding these technical challenges—model collapse, data drift, and quality assurance—will help you see that AI is not infallible, but is also importantly not stalled at today’s limitations. Indeed, the biggest question is not whether AI can mimic or refine your style; it’s whether its developers can keep leveling up their methods to maintain quality without returning to the wellspring of your original, human-crafted work. The companies working to achieve this vision of a synthetic future are some of the best-funded companies ever to have existed, and they are putting this money to work in service to this vision.

Looking Ahead to Part II

Now that we’ve laid out what synthetic data is, how it’s generated, and the main technical challenges developers face, you might be wondering what all this means for your livelihood and the creative industry at large. In Part II, we’ll address the more urgent, practical questions:

  • How does synthetic data weaken the demand for real content, and how can these technical achievements diminish the need for real-world artistry?

  • What happens if attribution is not part of the equation leaving you with no tangible proof that a hit AI track was trained on your voice or style?

  • Is there any path for original artists to thrive alongside AI, or must we accept being replaced by our digital shadows?

If Part I helped you see how synthetic data shapes and refines AI, Part II will show you why that matters and what you, as a creator, can do to safeguard your future. When AI crosses the finish line of complete independence, it won’t just be a new chapter in technology; it could be a turning point for all creative industries. And if we don’t act now, we risk opening the door to the darkest chapter ever.

Tamay Aykut

Founder & CEO

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